RATS (Regression Analysis of Time Series) is a fast, efficient, and comprehensive time series analysis and econometrics software package. RATS makes simple tasks easy to accomplish, while its command-driven interface and extensive programmability also make it a very flexible and powerful tool for more complex jobs.

Editions

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RATS Standard 9.2

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RATS Standard 9.2

RATS provides an interactive editor that allows you to quickly experiment with different models or procedures, without having to repeat earlier steps each time, with the batch mode automatically able to read and execute instructions from one or more input files, and saves the output to disk.


RATS 9.0 provides all the basics, including linear and non-linear least squares, forecasting, and models, but goes far beyond that with support for techniques like GMM, ARCH and GARCH, vector autoregressions (VARs), spectral analysis, state space models and DSGE, and much more.


It can handle time series of virtually any frequency, including daily and weekly, as well as panel data, and produces publication-quality graphs for printing or importing directly into word processors.


Menu-driven "Wizards" provide a point-and-click interface for many common tasks, making RATS an ideal tool for new users and for educational settings.


Meanwhile, the powerful command-driven language at the heart of the program remains easy to learn and use for simple jobs, while also allowing users to automate complex or repetitive tasks and even write sophisticated menu- and dialog-driven end-user applications.

RATS is available for Windows, Macintosh, UNIX, with complete compatibility across platforms.


RATS Version 9.2

The main enhancements with 9.2 are:

  • Two new optimization methods (Simulated Annealing and Genetic Annealing) have been added for non-linear estimation. These can be helpful in dealing with particularly difficult problems, as they do a very broad search of the parameter space.

  • Pseudo-code Generators has been added for two common loop types: Monte Carlo/Gibbs loops and Rolling Sample loops. These generate the framework for a loop.

  • The New Project Wizard can assist with starting a new project (program file)

  • Edit-Prettify indents DO and DOFOR loops to make a program more readable.

  • The DATA instruction now permits series<<fileseriesname fields to map a series/column name on an original file to a (valid) RATS name. This can be used to handle source file names which are too long, improperly formatted (for instance, having spaces), conflict with RATS reserved names (such as INV or T), or simply not easily understood.

  • The GARCH instruction has several enhancements. You can now estimate MODEL's for embedded Error Correction Terms. The XBEKK option has been added to control GARCH-X handling in BEKK models. The DENSITY and PARMSET options allow you to override the standard likelihood density functions.

  • RTF (Rich Text Format) is now available as an export format for reports.

  • Error-correction models (VECM's) created using SYSTEM with ECT can be used much more flexibly.

  • Functions have been added for various "remapping" matrix operations, such as %DNN for the "duplication" matrix that takes a lower-triangular SYMMETRIC matrix to a full RECTANGULAR matrix


New in version 9.0

Interface Improvements

  • The on-line help that we used in prior versions has been completely redone. It now has pretty much the full content of the Reference Manual, with some important extras: there are pages describing over 100 of the most important procedures, most with a full description of the syntax, plus examples, similar to what we’ve had all along with the regular instructions. There are also pages with the main examples. In all, it has the equivalent of about 2000 pages of printed documentation. And this is all linked up with cross-references for ease of use.

  • The GARCH wizard has been split into separate wizards for univariate and multivariate models. A new wizard for handling estimation of cointegration models provides easy-to-use access to the @JOHMLE, @FM and @SWDOLS procedures.

  • File-Properties shows the full file name of an open file (in a form where you can easily copy and paste). This can be handy when you have long paths so the name gets truncated.

  • Help-News... gets a "news feed" off our web site with links to updated information.

  • With version 8.3, we replaced the editor which actually runs most of the program with a new public domain editor called Scintilla. This adds the ability to put markers at locations in your program and includes "regular expressions" for more sophisticated searches. A few oddities in its operation (particularly skipping lines if you hold down the Enter key) have been corrected with version 9.

  • Another important change with v8.3 that’s even better with v9 is Find in Files. This allows you to search for a string (or "regular expression") across the full set of example programs so you can quickly locate example programs that use DLM or do a BEKK GARCH or an SPGRAPH, etc. It gives a huge boost to your productivity.


Programming

  • The most important change to the program itself is that you can now pass functions as parameters and options. This was a big hole in the RATS programming language—we haven’t even begun to figure out all the things that will be made easier or (even) possible using this. Just as an example, we have revised the commonly used @MONTEVAR and @MCVARDODRAWS procedures to allow a FUNCTION to be used to provide a non-standard factorization. In the past, you would have to create a custom version of the full procedure do that.

  • We introduced the HASH and LIST aggregators with version 8.2, but with version 9, we’ve added enough support to these to make them truly useful. These have been added to the documentation and examples of their use is now included.

  • The diagnostics for attempts to access out-of-range array elements have been improved, pointing you towards the likely source. You also now get better information about mistyped identifiers, as the program will list possible near-matches.


Changes to Instructions

  • You can now write data to XLSX and not just XLS. This applies to any instruction which writes data and to the export operations from REPORT windows.

  • SPGRAPH can now put keys out the outside of a matrix of graphs.

  • The GARCH instruction adds the new option VARIANCES=KOUTMOS to compute the univariate variances for CC and DCC models using the EGRACH formulation from Koutmos(1996) "Modeling the Dynamic Interdependence of Major European Stock Markets", Journal of Business Finance and Accounting, vol 23, 975-988. It also adds the STDRESIDS option for computing standardized residuals (univariate or jointly standardized multivariate).

  • IMPULSE has a new FLATTEN option for more easily saving into %%RESPONSES in Monte Carlo methods. Its FACTOR option can accept reduced numbers of columns (shocks), which makes it easier to handle situations where you are particularly interested in only a subset of the structural shocks.

  • HEIGHT and WIDTH have been added to GRPARM to allow standardized sizing of graphs.

  • GRAPH has a new SERIES option which can take a VECTOR of SERIES or a VECT[INTEGER] with series handles as input. This is particularly handy for doing graphics in Vector Autoregressions, where the number of graphs needed can change from application to application.

  • DATA adds the option ORG=MULTILINE, which allows you to pull data out of a spreadsheet file when a particular series occupies a block of rows.


View the full list of new features here

RATS Professional 9.2

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RATS Professional 9.2

The Professional version adds the following features not found in the Standard version:

  • Includes a 64-bit version for use with 64-bit operating systems. 32-bit executables (included with both Standard and Pro) will run properly on 64-bit operating systems but can't take advantage of the ability of the 64-bit executable to address more than 2 Gb of workspace.

  • Support for reading databases via ODBC/SQL

  • An additional instruction (called X11) implementing the Census Bureau's X11/X12-ARIMA seasonal adjustment routines.

  • Support for reading and writing FAME data files (requires FAME software)

  • Support for reading CRSP data files

  • Direct access to the FRED database via an internet connection.

  • Support for reading and writing Haver DLX format data files

Addons

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CATS 2.0

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CATS 2.0

CATS (Cointegration Analysis of Time Series) is a sophisticated set of RATS procedures which implement the popular Johansen and Juselius cointegration analysis techniques.

 

Version 2.0 was written by Jonathan Dennis, Katarina Juselius, Soren Johansen, and Henrik Hansen of the University of Copenhagen, and is distributed and supported by Estima.

 

CATS is almost entirely a menu and dialog-driven procedure. You use standard RATS instructions to define the frequency, read in data, and do any necessary transformations. You then “source” in and execute the cats procedures. From there, the rest of the analysis is done by selecting operations from the cats pull-down menus, and entering information in pop-up dialog boxes.

 

The Johansen–Juselius approach to cointegration is based on the error-correction form of a Gaussian vector autoregression. In particular, they analyze the decomposition of the matrix of error-correction coefficients P into ab'. The I (1) procedure supports partial systems, and makes it easy to specify weakly exogenous variables. You can also include dummy variables, or stationary dummy-type variables.

 

To help you choose a model, cats provides eigenvalues and trace test statistics for reduced rank (as well as 90% critical values if requested) and unrestricted estimates of a, b, and P. You can check the model by calculating multivariate test statistics for residual autocorrelation, normality, and arch. Version 2 even provides an automated model selection routine.

 

Additional features include:

  • Auxiliary procedures for multivariate tests of long-run exclusion, weak exogeneity and stationarity, and for calculating eigenvalues and trace statistics for five different hypotheses.

  • Ability to set and reset the rank of P throughout the analysis, and a variety of tests to help you determine the “correct” rank order.

  • Graphical analysis tools, including plots of the b-vectors to check stationarity, and of residuals to locate possible problems with the Gaussian assumption, plus correlograms and autocorrelograms.

  • Descriptive statistics include: residual correlation matrices, the short-run parameters and associated t-values, estimates of the C-matrix (with asymptotic t-values) in the common trends representation, and the long-run covariance matrix.

  • Structural tests, including non-identifying restrictions on b, identifying restrictions on b, and weak-exogeneity hypotheses on a.

  • Supports recursive cointegration analysis, with tests for the constancy of the eigenvalues, stability of the estimated cointegration space and the estimated parameters, and the adequacy of the predictions from the model.

 

CATS requires Version 6.2 or later of rats, and is available for Windows, Macintosh, unix, and Linux.